── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Sho Shimabukuro
77%23%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#155
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
JPN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q2 | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 3-1 RET |