── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Denis Shapovalov
Thiago Agustin Tirante
46%54%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
74th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Thiago Agustin Tirante
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#53
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
ARG
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Denis ShapovalovThiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Denis Shapovalov6-3 6-7(1) 7-6(3)