── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Denis Shapovalov 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Denis Shapovalov
Aleksandar Kovacevic
62%38%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 70% / 30%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#113
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
USA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Denis ShapovalovAleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR16Denis Shapovalov6-4 6-4
2025-07-14Los CabosHardFDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-2