── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Fabian Marozsan
60%40%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Fabian Marozsan
64th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#79
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
HUN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(4) 6-2 |