── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Bu Yunchaokete
53%47%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#78
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
CHN
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Bu Yunchaokete
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 7-6(3) 6-1 |