── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Rinky Hijikata
63%37%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Rinky Hijikata
18th · poor
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#95
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Los Cabos | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 2-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 2-6 6-4 6-3 |