── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Valentin Royer
63%37%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 |