── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Luca Van Assche
57%43%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#68
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-0 6-4 7-6(7) |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 6-4 6-4 |