── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Rafael Jodar
20%80%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#6
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
—
CAN
country
ESP
185cm
height
—
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings