── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Stan Wawrinka
84%16%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
SUI
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2022-10-24 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Stan Wawrinka | 6-4 6-4 |