── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Fabio Fognini
89%11%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
ITA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Fabio Fognini | 6-4 7-5 6-7(1) 6-3 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-09-21 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2020-01-06 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-2 6-2 |