── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Marin Cilic
73%27%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 11% / 89%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Marin Cilic
76th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#81
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
CRO
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2022-05-23 | Roland Garros | Clay | SF | Casper Ruud | 3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-2 7-6(6) |