── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Marcos Giron
78%22%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Marcos Giron
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#107
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 4-6 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Marcos Giron | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-0 |
| 2023-10-16 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-2 6-1 |