── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Yoshihito Nishioka
86%14%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
JPN
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 7-5 3-2 RET |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Casper Ruud | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2022-09-26 | Seoul | Hard | QF | Yoshihito Nishioka | 6-2 3-6 6-2 |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-2 |