── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Jordan Thompson
79%21%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Clay2–0
Grass0–1
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Jordan Thompson | 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2024-04-15 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | F | Jordan Thompson | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Jordan Thompson | 7-6(6) 7-6(3) 2-6 2-6 6-2 |
| 2021-02-08 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-3 2-1 RET |
| 2018-10-15 | Calgary CH | Hard | SF | Jordan Thompson | 6-7(5) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2018-05-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-4 2-6 4-6 6-3 |