── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Karen Khachanov
52%48%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-1 1-6 6-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | SF | Casper Ruud | 7-6(5) 6-2 5-7 6-2 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |