── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Reilly Opelka
76%24%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
USA
183cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay2–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2022-05-16 | Geneva | Clay | SF | Casper Ruud | 7-6(2) 7-5 |
| 2021-09-24 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-7(5) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2019-04-08 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2017-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(2) 6-3 |