── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Casper Ruud
Roman Safiullin
62%38%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#20
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
RUS
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Casper Ruud■ Roman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Casper Ruud6-2 7-6(5) 5-7 0-6 6-2
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Casper Ruud6-3 6-3