── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Arthur Rinderknech
72%28%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
FRA
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay3–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Arthur Rinderknech | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Casper Ruud | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2021-07-26 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | SF | Casper Ruud | 6-3 7-6(7) |