── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Stefanos Tsitsipas
70%30%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#45
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
GRE
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–2
Hard1–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-7(4) 7-6(2) 7-6(3) |
| 2024-04-15 | Barcelona | Clay | F | Casper Ruud | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | SF | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2016-05-09 | Italy F10 | Clay | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(2) |