── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Aleksandar Vukic
89%11%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#152
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
AUS
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-4 6-4 |