── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Casper Ruud
Daniel Altmaier
82%18%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#103
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
GER
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Casper RuudDaniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR32Daniel Altmaier6-3 7-5
2019-07-08Braunschweig CHClayR16Casper Ruud6-3 7-5
2016-07-18Belgium F6ClayFDaniel Altmaier6-7(3) 6-1 7-6(3)