── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Nuno Borges
74%26%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
POR
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Nuno Borges | 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-0 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-2 |