── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Corentin Moutet
75%25%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-2 6-7(4) 6-2 |