── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Casper Ruud 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Casper Ruud
Corentin Moutet
76%24%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#23
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Casper Ruud■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersClayR32Casper Ruud7-5 6-3
2022-08-29Us OpenHardR16Casper Ruud6-1 6-2 6-7(4) 6-2