── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Ugo Humbert
68%32%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#39
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay2–0
Grass0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | F | Casper Ruud | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-3 4-6 6-1 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 3-6 6-2 7-5 6-4 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 4-6 6-2 7-6(1) |
| 2020-09-21 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Casper Ruud | 7-5 3-6 6-1 |
| 2020-01-13 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 |