── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Valentin Vacherot
58%42%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
MON
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |