── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Sebastian Korda
46%54%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Return
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#20
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
USA
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Sebastian Korda | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Korda | W/O |