── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
68%32%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
45th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
54th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
ARG
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Gstaad | Clay | QF | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 3-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-07-14 | Gstaad | Clay | QF | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-2 1-6 6-3 |