── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Alexander Shevchenko
85%15%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#124
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
KAZ
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2023-07-17 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 6-2 6-4 |