── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Jack Draper
59%41%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 13% / 87%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
GBR
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | F | Casper Ruud | 7-5 3-6 6-4 |