── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Mattia Bellucci
85%15%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#123
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
ITA
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-2 6-4 |