── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Mariano Navone
64%36%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#50
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
ARG
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | SF | Mariano Navone | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | Davis Cup QLS R1: NOR vs ARG | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-3 |