── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Luciano Darderi
62%38%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Luciano Darderi
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#23
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NOR
country
ITA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | SF | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-1 |