── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Casper Ruud
Ben Shelton
57%43%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Return
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NOR
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Casper Ruud■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-02-26 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-7(7) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-2 7-6(1) |
| 2022-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 6-3 |