── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Lorenzo Sonego
57%43%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ITA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Tallon Griekspoor | 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(7) 5-7 6-4 |
| 2022-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q2 | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 6-4 7-6(3) |