── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tallon Griekspoor
Denis Shapovalov
54%46%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#52
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NED
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tallon GriekspoorDenis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayR32Denis Shapovalov6-4 3-6 6-2
2024-05-20GenevaClayR16Tallon Griekspoor6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-3