── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Denis Shapovalov
42%58%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
NED
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2024-05-20 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-3 |