── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tallon Griekspoor
Felix Auger Aliassime
26%74%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#52
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
CAN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tallon GriekspoorFelix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard02
Grass11
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQFFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 6-2
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassSFTallon Griekspoor6-4 6-4
2022-06-06s HertogenboschGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 7-6(5)
2018-08-27US OpenHardQ1Felix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-3