── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Lorenzo Musetti
28%72%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-02-12 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 3-6 7-6(7) 7-6(3) |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-4 7-6(8) |