── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Holger Rune
33%67%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#52
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
DEN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | QF | Holger Rune | 5-7 6-0 6-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-07-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 7-6(8) 7-5 |