── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Matteo Arnaldi
54%46%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
30th · below avg
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#84
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(9) 6-3 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(9) 6-3 7-6(6) 6-3 |