── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gael Monfils 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Barrios Vera
Gael Monfils
34%66%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Barrios Vera
21th · below avg
Gael Monfils
62th · average
Return
Tomas Barrios Vera
42th · average
Gael Monfils
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#142
model rank
#73
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
FRA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Barrios Vera■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 6-4 4-6 7-6(3) |