── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Barrios Vera 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Barrios Vera
Federico Coria
66%34%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Federico Coria
64th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#121
model rank
#169
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
ARG
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas Barrios VeraFederico Coria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay33
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-24SantiagoClayR32Federico Coria6-1 6-0
2024-10-28Guayaquil CHClaySFTomas Barrios Vera4-6 7-5 6-1
2021-02-14Concepcion CHClayR16Federico Coria6-4 6-4
2018-10-22Lima CHClayQ3Tomas Barrios Vera3-6 6-3 6-0
2016-07-04Cali CHClayQFFederico Coria6-3 6-3
2015-10-26Colombia F8ClayR16Tomas Barrios Vera4-6 6-4 6-3