── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Barrios Vera 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Barrios Vera
Thiago Monteiro
58%42%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 79% / 21%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#121
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CHI
country
BRA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas Barrios VeraThiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-23Sao Paulo CHClayR16Tomas Barrios Vera6-6 RET
2026-01-27Concepcion CHClayR16Tomas Barrios Vera6-2 7-5
2018-10-22Lima CHClayR16Thiago MonteiroW/O