── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tomas Barrios Vera
Cristian Garin
44%56%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#121
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
CHI
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tomas Barrios Vera■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Montevideo CH | Clay | SF | Cristian Garin | 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-04-28 | Mauthausen CH | Clay | F | Cristian Garin | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2025-02-17 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Q1 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q2 | Cristian Garin | 2-6 6-2 6-0 |
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | Clay | R32 | Tomas Barrios Vera | 7-6(3) 7-5 |