── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Emilio Nava 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Barrios Vera
Emilio Nava
44%56%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 76% / 24%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Barrios Vera
22th · below avg
Emilio Nava
47th · average
Return
Tomas Barrios Vera
42th · average
Emilio Nava
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#115
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
USA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Tomas Barrios Vera■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–3
Hard1–1
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-11Oeiras 4 CHClayQFEmilio Nava2-6 6-4 7-6(9)
2025-04-07Sarasota CHClayQFEmilio Nava7-5 7-6(3)
2025-03-17Asuncion CHClayQFEmilio Nava2-6 6-3 7-5
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardQ1Tomas Barrios Vera7-6(0) 7-6(3)
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQ1Emilio Nava7-5 6-2
2020-10-12Alicante CHClayQ1Tomas Barrios Vera6-2 6-0