── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Emilio Nava 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Tomas Barrios Vera
Emilio Nava
42%58%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Return
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Emilio Nava
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#121
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHI
country
USA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Tomas Barrios VeraEmilio Nava
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay13
Hard11
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-11Oeiras 4 CHClayQFEmilio Nava2-6 6-4 7-6(9)
2025-04-07Sarasota CHClayQFEmilio Nava7-5 7-6(3)
2025-03-17Asuncion CHClayQFEmilio Nava2-6 6-3 7-5
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardQ1Tomas Barrios Vera7-6(0) 7-6(3)
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQ1Emilio Nava7-5 6-2
2020-10-12Alicante CHClayQ1Tomas Barrios Vera6-2 6-0