── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Molcan 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Molcan
Marco Trungelliti
62%38%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#69
model rank
#118
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
ARG
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Molcan■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-29BeijingHardQ2Alex Molcan6-4 7-5