── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Roberto Carballes Baena
74%26%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | Q1 | Alex Molcan | 0-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-07-07 | Braunschweig CH | Clay | QF | Alex Molcan | 6-3 1-0 RET |
| 2022-07-25 | Umag | Clay | R16 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q1 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 7-5 6-4 |