── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Karen Khachanov
32%68%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
RUS
178cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Karen Khachanov | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-05-16 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Alex Molcan | 6-2 7-6(4) |