── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Bublik 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Molcan
Alexander Bublik
34%66%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Molcan
36th · below avg
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Alexander Bublik
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#69
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
KAZ
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex Molcan■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-23KitzbuhelClayQFAlexander Bublik6-3 6-2
2026-04-13MunichClayR32Alex Molcan6-4 6-2