── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Molcan 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Molcan
Sebastian Ofner
65%35%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Return
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#136
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
SVK
country
AUT
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Molcan■ Sebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | R32 | Alex Molcan | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-07-31 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | R16 | Alex Molcan | 4-6 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2021-04-19 | Rome 1 CH | Clay | R32 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-7(7) 6-0 6-3 |
| 2016-08-29 | Austria F8 | Clay | R16 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 7-6(5) |